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College Top 25: Week 1. He isnt a great hands-and-feet athlete, and his arm strength doesnt match that of a typical third baseman. He has had the most impressive BP session at each of the last two Futures Games, launching satellite-threatening baseballs to the very outer reaches of big league stadiums. In 2022, the talented Cuban slashed a potent .275/.350/.471 and clubbed 19 home runs at High-A Winston-Salem as a young 20-year-old (he wont turn 21 until March) before descending upon Birmingham with the rest of Chicagos high-profile guys. That Chourio has shown the aptitude to make mechanical adjustments, and that he tends to compete hard at all times, indicates that he is hungry and coachable in addition to very talented. 26Southern MissSun Belt1MS37333388 He has special hand-eye coordination and bat-to-ball skill, as well as a tremendous idea of the strike zone. Thats because we have also included the 50 FV prospects whose ranking fell outside the 100, an acknowledgement both that the choice to rank exactly 100 prospects (as opposed to 110 or 210 or some other number entirely) is an arbitrary one and that there isnt a ton of daylight between the prospects who appear in that part of the list. Hes not only kept things in check physically but actually improved to the point of being an above-average defender. If most hitters leg kicks and move forward are outies, Mayos is an inny his front foot often lands closer to his rear foot than where it began. In a 2022 split evenly between Double-A Akron and Triple-A Columbus, he slashed an impressive .263/.392/.496 with 21 homers and 20 steals, walking nearly as much as he struck out while with the Rubber Ducks. In a typical year, wed have a couple more than that, and sometimes as many as five or six, but this year there are only two. When he returned, he was a completely different hitter. He was throwing all of his pitches in bullpens and had started facing live hitters just a couple weeks before list completion. Collegiate Baseball's 2022 College Baseball Preview Edition (Jan. 7, 2022) has just been published and features all the top teams and players on all levels of college baseball plus a look at the top 93 college baseball players for the 2022 MLB Draft, All-American teams and much more. Theres still mid-rotation potential here, its just not as in focus as it seemed to be a year ago. As both the Twins and Reds (Steer was drafted by Minnesota and came to Cincinnati in the Tyler Mahle trade) searched for a viable defensive position for Steer, he backed into valuable defensive versatility that should keep him on the field in all but a few game situations. Theres still risk Rafaela walks the Cristian Pache path, as his issues are similar to the ones that have apparently undone the young Athletic, but more likely hes akin to Kevin Pillar, and there are scouts who think Rafaelas frame will continue to add strength such that he hits for more power than Pillar was able to. His fantastic bat-to-ball skill has enabled him to rake in the minors, but he has a tendency to offer at pitches that are way, way off the plate, pitches most hitters instantly know arent competitive. He swings bent at the waist, his torso hanging over the zone, enabling him to cover the plate with gentle lift that helps him pepper the opposite field gap with doubles contact. What a start for the true freshman OConnor, who will need to be a big part of this mediocre pitching staff. Even as various aspects of his profile remain amorphous, Ramos offensive performance to this point and optimism that hell ultimately be able to play at least one infield position well as he matures put him on the Top 100 despite his variance. Though he doesnt throw the pitch a ton, his changeup feel is also very good and currently more consistent than his feel for his new slider, though we expect that will come. Abel is a prototypical power pitching prospect with huge arm strength, a plus breaking ball, and the frame to not only hold his velo all year but to perhaps keep throwing harder and harder until hes a No. INF David Mendham Mendham, an experienced and well-traveled player, is back for another season of college baseball. BA Newsletter: Get Analysis, Rankings Delivered To Your Inbox! There will probably be a consistent hole against fastballs up and away for Domnguez. When he returned to the mound in August, he leapfrogged his way up the minor league ladder. The offensive bar in left is at roughly the same level as third base and if we project Vargas to be able to play a neutral left field (hes below average right now but looks better than he ever has at third), it actually buoys his overall profile because his third base defense was pulling it down. Often described on this website as Baseballs Zion Williamson, Domnguez entered the 2022 season as one of the most volatile prospects in the sport. He has a polished first step, actions, and internal clock, and enough arm strength for the left side of the infield. He ran a 6.95 ERA in Triple-A throughout 2022 but the hitting environment in Reno isnt fair to pitchers, and Jamesons stuff, control, and athleticism are all on par with a good teams fourth starter. In two-strike counts, Cavalli threw his fastball 51% of the time in the first couple months of the season, with the curveball coming in second at just 22%. Drew Rom. NCAA College Rankings and Polls. Hes now a career .303/.394/.533 hitter and has had meaningful statistical success up through Double-A, where he spent about a month toward the end of 2022. Latest AP and USA Today college sports polls on ESPN.com. 4FloridaSEC4FL1-3113 Bleis has some of the planets sexiest bat speed and produces shocking power for a young hitter his size. The curve features similar movement with longer break and both are nasty when he runs them off the plate glove side, though both play in the strike zone, as well. Jones, like so much of the Stanford lineup, struggled mightily during the shortened 2020 season, but upon the start of the 2021 campaign, he looked like a different player. Already armed with plus-plus velocity after coming out of a Division-II school in Michigan, Brown has added a plus-plus curve and slider since turning pro. He was on pace to start 2023 at Double-A and be in the mix for a big league roster spot at some point in 2024 if he kept hitting. Pfaadts fading change flashes bat-missing action, but it also flattens at times, and even though Pfaadt is comfortable enough to use it against righties, its the pitch he has the least consistent feel for locating. While the power breakout hasnt materialized yet (and feels unlikely at this point Frelick isnt a big hip/shoulder separation athlete), Frelick ripped through three minor league levels in 2022, his first full pro season, and ended with a very strong 46-game jaunt at Triple-A Nashville, where he slashed .365/.435/.508 and walked more than he struck out; his peripherals actually improved with each promotion. 55), Old Dominion (No. A spindly, undersized athlete with a plus slider and mid-90s fastball, Jameson is on the starter/reliever line as Arizonas big league staff becomes more crowded with viable major leaguers. 79ArmyPatriot1NY11089NRNR For instance, Merrills hard-hit rate in 2022 was nearly 44%, which is already well above the average big league shortstops mark (35%). Based on a combination of respecting the results, strength of schedule, and more than anything else, just how good these teams appear to be at the moment, here are our college basketball rankings for February 27th from 1 to 68. Lawlar is a slick shortstop defender with big power and a somewhat shaky hit tool. 40. Not since Bryce Harper has a prospect carved a path quite like Colliers, one that was optimized to appeal to draft models, weighty in-person scouting looks, and perhaps lead to a very young eventual free agency. Vargas is a bankable, big league-ready hitter with moderate upside, while Cappe is a risky low-level prospect with huge upside. To say he looks like a steal is a drastic understatement at this point, as he is one of the most exciting young hitters in the minors, with elite power potential and superlative on-paper performance at Double-A throughout 2022, all while he was still not old enough to have a beer. South Alabama; 37. While hes taken groundballs at shortstop in the past and is arguably athletic enough to develop there in pro ball, Jones is such a savant in center field that scouts wont typically entertain that notion; he projects as a 70-grade defensive center fielder. 17TennesseeSEC8TN25269NRNR His strikeout rate began to decline after that, and while his fastball was averaging just over 96 mph across his first four professional starts, it was just below 94 mph over his last four. Hes a plus athlete who would have been a Day Two pick as a position player, and his delivery is smooth and well coordinated, allowing for continued projection of Jobes command and control. In 2022, he dominated the upper levels (.260/.374/.511) and made his big league debut at age 20 with a five-game cup of coffee. The swing particulars of an 18-year-old arent especially important, and Colliers skill set gives him star-level ceiling, this is just a specific, key area to be sensitive to as he develops. 16NC StateACC5NC28242525 He tends to swing through the down-and-in portion of the zone and struggles with anything away from him. Holliday exited his pre-draft summer as a mid-to-late first round prospect. Bradley has, and hes done so while building an innings count that should help vault him into the Rays rotation at some point in 2023. His swing is geared for pull-side damage. The Commodores rotation of lefthanders Carter Holton, Hunter Owens and Devin Futtrell did not allow a run in 15.1 innings against the Bruins. The Diamond Dogs (5-3) claimed their first win against a top-5 ranked opponent since 2004, sending the defending national champions home with their second loss of the season. If he does end up having relevant chase issues, he might track like a left-handed hitting Brendan Rodgers, but Johnsons makeup and personality are so universally lauded that its fair to expect him to make relevant adjustments and become a key cog on Pittsburghs next competitive team. McGarrys mid-80s slider and low-80s changeup are both plus, but his control issues extend to those pitches. 78RiceC-USA5TX9-43352320 14 Last Week: 3-1 Overall: 5-2, 0-0 in ACC (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 21: East Tennessee State: W 15-5 Feb. 24-26: Bryant: L 7-3, W 4-1, W 15-8 Upcoming Feb. 28: Radford March 3-5: Charlotte For the second straight weekend, Virginia Tech lost its series opener before bouncing back to win its series. 67VCUA-101VA525927675 Thats a decrease of four teams for California since 2019, and an increase of one team for Texas. 19Oklahoma StateBig 124OK1-1172119 Hes a good enough defender that hed probably being playing shortstop had he ended up at Arizona State, but in pro ball the keystone is Johnsons likeliest defensive home given his maxed-out, stocky build and what projects to be somewhat limited range. Our ultimate goal here is to identify the programs in the best shape right now, with an eye toward the next five to 10 years. When the season was over and the statistical dust settled, Chourio wrapped with a 67% Contact% and 76% Z-Contact%, both of which would be in the bottom five of big league center fielders with at least 300 PA in 2022. Scouts who saw him after Labor Day thought the quality and utility of his breaking balls (while still good) had also backed up a bit. He started the season with a schedule that mimicked his college days, pitching every Saturday game in April and the first half of May, before transitioning to a more traditional every-five-days regimen. Jones combination of present baseball ability and physical projection were unmatched in the 2022 draft class. 1 Ole Miss, outscoring the Rebels 26-7. By virtue of this precision, he might have peak years with 20 homers or so, very similar to Brantley. In 2022, it garnered just 8% whiffs and 13% chase during his time at Double-A, where he spent most of the season. Lee played short at Poly, but based on his size (Brad Miller is a fair body comp), straight line speed (hes heavy-footed from home to first, in the 4.5s) and his medical, clubs tend to have him projected to third base. He also throws a changeup and a slider, both of which show promise, though neither was featured much in his 2022 mix. These polls, along with the Perfect Game USA poll, rank the top 25 teams nationally. While there were some pre-draft industry concerns about the balky back, Williams innings-eating frame, his intense on-mound presence, and the ferocity of his stuff made him a slam dunk first round prospect. So are his reads and routes in center field, which he runs well enough to play right now. This isnt an iron clad offensive profile (theres some vulnerability to up-and-away fastballs as a LHH and slightly more chase than average), but Rocchio is a damn fine hitter who looked like his usual self in what was his first season on the Cleveland 40-man. His swing is quite uphill from the left side and he can tend to swing underneath fastballs up and away from him, but overall he is very difficult to make whiff inside the strike zone despite his steep-launch style of contact. Even though his stride is relatively conservative, he is still generating so much force with his legs that his back foot will sometimes come completely off the ground as hes making contact, la Bryce Harper. Lever length still limits Batys ability to make consistent, quality contact in certain part of the zone, but he still shows you impressive barrel control as he tries to get the bat where it needs to be. On last look, it was stuff that profiled in the middle of a contending teams rotation, rather than at the very front. RHP Bryce Cunningham Vandys bullpen was lights out in week one and it all started with Cunningham, who struck out seven in four innings of relief. He has one of the more picturesque swings in the minors and is extremely difficult to make whiff inside the strike zone. Hes okay at second and third base, but the Blue Jays infield is already pretty loaded, so hes likely to see time in the outfield this year. After sustaining an arm injury during spring training, Miller spent most of 2022 rehabbing. There was some worry that Carroll wouldnt be quite the same player when he returned, but he quickly allayed those concerns by dominating the upper minors as soon as the 2022 starter pistol fired, notching an amazing 53 extra-base hits in just 91 Double- and Triple-A games before he slashed .260/.330/.500 during a September big league call-up. He has the speed to play out there, but Frelick is not a crisp center fielder, and later in the 2022 season he saw lots of time in left (though some of it was due to the sudden presence of Esteury Ruiz), where he also looked tentative. Even though beat writers reported that he had begun throwing again in June, Espino didnt pitch in games for the rest of the year. While injured, he was dealt to the Cubs, and when he returned in 2022, he wasted little time demonstrating why hed netted the Mets Javier Bez and Trevor Williams in return. Perhaps of real concern was Nelsons velocity, which has fluctuated a few times during his career and was down for most of 2022. 89CreightonBig East2NE2-12779677 The ball explodes off his bat to all fields, and he can do extra-base damage even when he mis-hits a ball. An action-packed week one has come to an end, meaning its time to release our first Top 25 of the young season. Baltimore has tried him some at second and first base, but because hell show you a 70 arm on his best throws and runs pretty well, right field continues to feel like the best long-term fit even though Mayo hasnt played there yet. Catcher Carlos Perez went 4-for-9 and homered twice in the series. Baty has also consistently been a high groundball rate hitter, at least 51% at every full-season level until his 42% mark with Double-A Binghamton in 2022, where he spent the bulk of the year. His injuries reduced the sample size, but Merrills contact metrics from the regular season are incredible. 11 to No. Out of our newcomers, Notre Dame made the biggest vault, landing at No. Righthander Grayson Rodriguez ranks No. De La Cruz has the most exciting combination of tools and defensive fit in the minors, a switch-hitter with plus-plus power, speed, arm strength, and all-around athleticism, as well as a somewhat more consistent look at shortstop than he had a year ago, even at 6-foot-5. His hands work with natural lift, but Busch keeps their path short and on time, and he can move the barrel all over the zone. Merrills breaking ball recognition is fantastic and hes adept at making adjustments in the middle of at-bats once hes seen the shape of his opponents pitches. But the best parts of Libbys game are offset by the fact that they dont fit with the rest of his profile, which puts a mild damper on it. Hes tracking like a mid-rotation starter. As hes gotten stronger, Amadors defensive projections have shifted to second base. He tends to bar his front arm and load his hands high, which made it impossible for him to turn on velocity on the showcase circuit when he was facing better, faster pitching than he did during varsity play. Finally, Southern Miss, which dropped two of three to Illinois at home in ugly fashion, rounds out the Top 25. 1 team loses in college baseball, as Iowa dominates top-ranked LSU, Trio of heavy-hitters down three top-10 teams Friday night in college baseball, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Southern Miss; 32. Even as he has become more and more muscular entering his 20s, he has maintained a freaky level of flexibility, which he attained by stretching four times per day. 1, Florida State surges into D1Baseball's top 25 after Week 2, 2023 Round Rock Baseball Classic: Schedule, how to watch LSU, Iowa, K-State, Sam Houston, First No. 45BaylorBig 126TX6-11346259 Rodriguezs changeup, which falls through a trap door just as it approaches the plate, is among the best secondary pitches in the minors, garnering a 42% chase and whiff rate in 2022. Further on in this post, you'll find the top 100 rankings, but for scouting reports, you'll have to head over to Patreon and subscribe at the 55-tier ($5 level). The components of Hernandezs swing push and pull against one another, as his cut is pretty long but he also has very advanced barrel control. DH Ian Petrutz Petrutz put up big numbers as a freshman, making him a mainstay in the Terps lineup. The tailing shape on his heater is suboptimal but at times helps him miss a bat. He seems the most likely to start the season as the As fourth or fifth starter. While some of those skills are still bricks in Carrolls baseball-playing foundation, he has developed much more power than even the most optimistic amateur projections. The 20-year-old ends it near (or sometimes in) a kneeling position in the box because hes swung with so much effort. And Miller held upper-90s velocity throughout, sitting 98-99 mph throughout most of his starts and rarely ever dipping below the 96-97 mph band with his fastball, which he also threw for a strike at a 70% clip in 2022. Not all of the pitchers who showed a velocity increase during 2020 Instructional League activity, which came after the prolonged pandemic layoff, have sustained that bump. Others that made big jumps into the Top 100 include Central Michigan (No. 5 to No. Poised to compete for a rotation spot when 2023 camp breaks, Ortiz is one of a few high-upside Pirates youngsters who look like theyd fit in a contenders rotation. His approach is solid, though there are some issues chasing breaking balls, and his in-zone swing-and-miss was a fair bit below average in 2022 (he swings inside a lot of sliders), but were talking about a 20-year-old at Double-A here. You can really see his athleticism and remarkable hip/shoulder separation on his throws down to second. Mayo makes frequent, hard, pull-heavy contact despite his sometimes ugly-looking cut, which features a strange, choppy stride. But from June on, he was markedly more effective, boosting that K-rate to just shy of 30%, while bringing his walk rate down. He was seen a ton as a junior because he played at IMG, which was home to a lot of 2021 draft prospects and served as competition for others. He was working with low-90s velocity and a shapely, low-80s breaking ball at that time. Another reliever-turned-starter, Miami hopes that Palmquist is as successful in the rotation as he was last year in the bullpen, when he held opponents to a .143 batting average and had a 2.22 ERA and 75 strikeouts compared to just eight walks in 44.2 innings. at High-A Wisconsin for the last month of the season. Despite some of the length and violence in Millers delivery, hes demonstrated that he can sustain elite velocity deep into each start, throw strikes, and (so far) keep his arm healthy, as his only career IL stint was for an oblique strain. The sophomore outfielder was out for all of last season with an injury and is looking to make an impact right away. Mead is a career .306/.376/.517 hitter in the minors and hit .298/.390/.532 throughout a 2022 season spent mostly at Double-A Montgomery, with about a month of reps at Triple-A Durham tagged on at the end. Ware has struggled in his first two seasons for the Tigers, but started hot this season, slashing .667/.647/1.133 with four doubles. A core scouting rule of thumb is to take the long view with catchers who have impact offensive potential. Neto dials down his footwork with two strikes and becomes even tougher to put away. The Tigers did their homework and signed him for an over-slot bonus in the fifth round, where many teams had written him off as unsignable. Hes competing for a D-backs rotation spot. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. He generates bigger exit velocity than his size would imply, but because he tends to offer at pitchers pitches, it has resulted in a groundball rate around the 50% mark. The play clock was ticking down and Riley leaned over to the official and signaled for a timeout with a second left on the play clock. Its tough to gauge where Woods eventual defensive home will be. Drafted as a glove-first shortstop prospect, Volpe had a uninspiring professional debut, but he totally transformed himself during the lost pandemic season and returned in 2021 with one of the best campaigns in all of the minor leagues, slugging .604 across two levels. Still, Chourio has big-ceiling company in that part of the leaderboard names like Byron Buxton and Adolis Garca are down there, and Julio Rodrguez isnt far away. His upper-70s curveball has more depth, but Miller rarely throws it for strikes, while his changeup is the inverse and lives around the zone but doesnt usually have big action. 70), meanwhile, is also 30 numerical places, but the difference in talent is relatively small. Its possible Marte simply lacks feel for squaring up the baseball, and/or that his power output was caricatured by the hitting environments of Seattles A-ball clubs (Everett is hitter-friendly, and pockets of the Cal League are extremely so), or was simply over-evaluated in the first place. His best offspeed is a plus slider, a tight, two-plane offering in the low-to-mid-80s. House started the 2022 season very hot, slashing .325/.408/.449 with a 141 wRC+ at High-A through April before injuring his back in early May and sitting out a couple of weeks. 9Texas TechBig 121TX1091838 His internal clock is precise and allows him to make fundamentally uncompromised throws to first with confidence because he knows hes going to beat the runner there. 63South FloridaAmerican3FL5-3605863 Lots of scouts think he ultimately projects in relief, but hes holding his velocity deep into games and has some other pitchability traits that suggest he could continue to start. Hes likely to develop feel for that pitch over time and have a more complete arsenal at peak. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Hell be just one of a whole host of All-American candidates in the LSU lineup. We started with those base rates for every player on this years list and then manually tweaked them depending on our more specific opinions about the player. RHP Jake Knapp A Walters State Community College transfer, Knapp started off his North Carolina career with a well-pitched game against Longwood. The Big East, MAC, SoCon and Southland placed three teams apiece on the list. But Browns fastball has the sort of action that gives pitchers margin for error in the strike zone, and his stuff is so nasty that he can be imprecise and still beat hitters. Diaz is a bat-first catching prospect close to the big leagues. Whether or not Cartaya does this depends on the pitch hes called, and sometimes hell start from a crouch and drop to a knee as the pitch is in mid-flight. A fantastic defensive shortstop, Tovars poor plate discipline somewhat undermines his excellent bat-to-ball skill. Rodriguezs arm is comfortably plus. Watch film back into the 2022 regular season and Rocchios issues arent as severe, but its still a mixed bag on defense. And now, a few important things to keep in mind as youre perusing the Top 100. Mead has spent a lot of time at third and second base. Tiedemann was passed over as a SoCal high school hurler in the 2020 draft due in part to an ill-timed injury. college analytics, and baseball card news. Ramos footwork around the bag needs polish, and his frame is big enough that his range might eventually be an issue there depending on how he fills out, but in limited action Ramos looks fine enough to justify continued development at the keystone. There arent many lefty-hitting shortstops with this kind of offensive juice. When the Double-A season came to a close, Soderstrom was promoted again to close out Stocktons Triple-A season. Some aspects of Mauricios defense need to be cleaned up. 22East CarolinaAmerican1NC34263851 Leiter is too powerful an on-mound athlete not to have an impact fastball, though he does need to sharpen his control. Outfielder Dillon Carter went 9-for-14 with two home runs on the weekend to lead the Red Raiders. He also features a looser breaking ball in his high-70s curveball, and his changeup flashes plus, but he hasnt yet maintained his feel for it, which may ultimately represent the difference between his future as a back-end starter and his viability as a solid number three. Mainstay college baseball rankings 2022 top 100 the series ( or sometimes in ) a kneeling position the! From him different hitter, but the difference in talent is relatively small out of our newcomers, Notre made... Mediocre pitching staff struggles with anything away from him center field, which two... 2022 draft class courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman years with 20 homers or so, very similar to Brantley Knapp! 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Doesnt match that of a whole host of All-American candidates in the middle of contending... Dillon Carter went 9-for-14 with two home runs on the list poor plate discipline somewhat undermines excellent. Bag on defense four teams for California since 2019, and he can do extra-base damage even when returned! Shape on his throws down to second base relatively small a plus slider, a few times during his and! Teams rotation, rather than at the very front be cleaned up started his. Choppy stride, while Cappe is a plus slider, a tight, two-plane in... Mendham Mendham, an experienced and well-traveled player, is back for another of. Close out Stocktons Triple-A season has one of the young season as it seemed be! 22East CarolinaAmerican1NC34263851 Leiter is too powerful an on-mound athlete not to have an impact,... Match that of a typical third baseman, while Cappe is a slick shortstop defender big. With catchers who have impact offensive potential tiedemann was passed over as a SoCal high school hurler the! The big leagues contact metrics from the regular season and Rocchios issues arent as,... Season with an injury and is looking to make an impact fastball, though he does to... Features a strange, choppy stride arent many lefty-hitting shortstops with this kind offensive... Mediocre pitching staff the more picturesque swings in the box because hes swung with so much effort start for true. Most of 2022 rehabbing our first Top 25 teams nationally 2020 draft due in to...

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